UNDERSTANDING GOALSTATISTICS FOOTBALL TRADING PLANS

Football Trading Plans – Introduction

Here at Goalstatistics we regularly publish football trading plans for the best games. As our statistics are very detailed, it can be difficult to understand them first, therefore in this article, we go through each and every data point. If you read it through, you will get a better understanding of each stat category and every single entry point.

In this article we picked the Wigan-West Brom match, you can find the full football trading plan here.

Prematch

Let’s start with the prematch section – here we collected the most important stats you can use to bet before the kickoff. Highlighted in yellow, you find some generic stats for the home team, these are the following:

  • GP: Games played
  • W/D/L: Win / Draw / Loss
  • Goals: Number of goals scored/conceded

    *Please note: we take into consideration only home games for the home team and only away games for away team.

These statistics are organized into two lines, these are FT and HT, referring to Fulltime and Halftime.

Highlighted in green there are two categories: Past calendar year and Season to date. These are important, as you can take a look at team trends, how stat categories look in two different time frames.

The league avg is highlighted in orange, this shows the league average for each statistical category. If a team’s number is higher by at least 15% than the league average, it is highlighted with a green background. If it is lower by at least 15%, it has a red background.

Last, but not least, the stat categories are marked with purple, these are the following:

  • Both teams scored: % of games where both teams scored
  • Goal scored: % of games where the team scored at least one goal
  • Goal conceded: % of games where the team conceded at least one goal
  • Scored 1st: % of games where the team scored 1st
  • Conceded 1st: % of games where the team conceded 1st
  • Over x.5: % of games that went over the specified line
  • HT scored: % of games where the team scored at least one goal in the 1st half
  • HT conceded: % of games where the team conceded at least one goal in the 1st half
  • HT over x.5: % of games that went over the specified 1st half line
An example (marked with blue):
 
Wigan played 21 games at home in the past calendar year, and the scored the 1st goal in 48% of the times. Out of Wigan’s 9 home games this season, they managed to score first in 44% of the time. On the other hand, in WBA’s 24 away games in the past calendar year, they conceded 1st in 46% of the times, while in this season out of 10 games they conceded the 1st goal in 50%.
Prematch stats explained

Football Trading Plans - 1st Half Entry Points

In order to find successful entry points in the 1st half, we have broken down the stats into 3 main categories – game situation if you like – these are highlighted in yellow:

  • 15th Minute 0-0
  • 20th Minute 0-0
  • 30th Minute 0-0
Highlighted in green, you can find generic goal statistics. We use this to show you how each team performs in certain periods of the first half. Please note, these stats are generic, so includes every single game:
 
  • 0-15: goals scored/conceded between the 1st and the 15th minute
  • 16-30: goals scored/conceded between the 16th and the 30th minute
  • 16-HT: goals scored/conceded between the 16th minute and halftime
  • 21-HT: goals scored/conceded between the 21st minute and halftime
  • 31-HT: goals scored/conceded between the 31st minute and halftime
Marked with the purple color, we tell you the number of games that each team played in the specified situation in the past calendar year and season to date. As an example, West Brom had 15 away games in the past calendar year, where the score was 0-0 in the 15th minute.

As you have seen in the prematch stats, we also tell you the league average (highlighted in orange) for each stat category. As an example, in this season the average Championship match goes over 0.5 before halftime in 55% of the time.

Last, but not least we highlighted the stat categories in purple. These are the following:

  • HT scored: % of games where the team scored at least one goal before the halftime in the specified situation
  • HT conceded: % of games where the team conceded at least one goal before the halftime in the specified situation
  • HT Over x.5: % of games that went over the specified 1st half line in the specified situation
  • FT Over x.5: % of games that went over the specified line in the specified situation
An example (marked in blue):
Wigan had 15 home games in the past calendar year where the score was 0-0 in the 15th minute, 67% of those went over 0.5 before the halftime. In this season they had 7 home games in this situation, 71% went over 0.5 before the break. On the other hand, WBA played 15 away games in the past calendar year where the score was 0-0 in the 15th minute, 53% of those went over 0.5 by the halftime. In this season they had 6 away games in this situation,  going over 0.5 by halftime only in 33% of the times.
1st half stats explained

Football Trading Plans - Halftime Entry Point

You have another significant entry point, this is halftime. Here, we let you analyze 4 different situations, these are highlighted in orange:

  • Halftime home lead
  • Halftime 0-0
  • Halftime non-goalless draw (e.g. 1-1, 2-2)
  • Halftime away lead
The layout and the breakdown are similar to the 1st half statistics (see in yellow), you can find statistics filtered to games from the past calendar year and season to date, while you can also find the league average for every single stat category.
 
The stat categories are highlighted in green, these are the following:
  • Num. of goals 2nd half: goals scored/conceded in the second half in the specified situation
  • Any scored 46-60 MIN: % of games where any of the teams managed to score between the 46th and the 60th Minute in the specified situation
  • Goal scored: % of games where the team scored at least one goal in the specified situation
  • Goal conceded: % of games where the team conceded at least one goal in the specified situation
  • 2+ goals scored: % of games where the team scored at least two goals in the specified situation
  • 2+ goals conceded: % of games where the team conceded at least two goals in the specified situation
  • 1+ goals in 2nd half: % of games where was at least one goal scored by any team in the second half in the specified situation
  • 2+ goals in 2nd half: % of games where was at least two goals scored by any team in the second half in the specified situation
  • 3+ goals in the second half: % of games where were at least three goals scored by any team in the second half in the specified situation

An example (highlighted in blue):
In the past calendar year, Wigan had 9 home games where they had the lead at halftime, 78% of these games have seen at least one more goal in the second half. In this season they had 3 home games when leading at halftime, 67% of those produced at least one more goal. On the other hand, WBA had 7 away games in the past calendar year where they were losing, 86% of these games had at least one more goal in the second half. In this season they had 3 away games in this situation, 67% of those produced at least one more goal by the final whistle.

Football trading plans - Halftime stats explained

Football Trading Plans - 60th Minute Entry Point

Towards the end of the game, we provide more detailed statistics, to make sure we create the best football trading plans. In the 60th minute, we broke down the stats into 7 game situations (highlighted in orange). These are the following:

  • 60th minute home lead
  • 60th minute draw
  • 60th minute away lead
  • 60th minute 0 goal scored between HT-60th Min
  • 60th minute 1 goal scored between HT-60th Min
  • 60th minute high leverage
  • 60th minute low leverage

Here we need to stop and explain the last four game situations. The 0 or 1 goal scored between HT-60th minute part is filtered to games that have seen exactly 0 or 1 goal in the first 15 minutes of the second half. The reason is simple: we would like to show you how an early goal in the second half affects a match. You can also find two more game situations with high and low leverage. This refers to the goal difference between the teams: if the goal difference is exactly one goal, the leverage is high. If the goal difference is 2 or more goals, the leverage is low.

The layout and the breakdown are similar to the previous entry points, you can find statistics filtered to games from the past calendar year and season to date, while you can also find the league average for every single stat category.

The stat categories are highlighted in green, these are the following:

  • Num. of goals 61-FT: goals scored/conceded after the 61st minute in the specified situation
  • Any scored 60-75 Min: % of games where any of the teams managed to score between the 61st and full time in the specified situation
  • Goal scored: % of games where the team scored at least one goal in the specified situation
  • Goal conceded: % of games where the team conceded at least one goal in the specified situation
  • 1+ goals in the last 30 Min: % of games where were at least one goal scored by any team in the last 30 minutes in the specified situation
  • 2+ goals in the last 30 Min: % of games where were at least two goals scored by any team in the last 30 minutes in the specified situation

An example (highlighted in blue):

Wigan had 9 home games in the past calendar year where they had the lead in the 60th Minute, 78% of these produced at least one more goal in the last half an hour. They had 3 home games in this situation in this season, 67% of those have seen at least one goal in the last 30 minutes. On the other hand, WBA had 7 away games in the past calendar year where they were losing in the 60th minute, 86% of these produced at least one more goal, while in the 3 away games they played in this situation in this season, 67% of the times we have seen one more goal.

Football trading plans - 60th min stats explained

Football Trading Plans - 75th Minute Entry Point

The most exciting part of a football match is definitely the last 15 minutes, so we pay additional attention to our football trading plans. We break down the stats into 8 categories (highlighted in orange):

  • 75th minute home lead
  • 75th minute draw
  • 75th minute away lead
  • 75th minute 0 goals scored between 46-75th minute
  • 75th minute 1 goal scored between 46-75th minute
  • 75th minute 2 goals scored between 46-75th minute
  • 75th minute high leverage
  • 75th minute low leverage

The layout and the breakdown are similar to the 1st half statistics (see in yellow), you can find statistics filtered to games from the past calendar year and season to date, while you can also find the league average for every single stat category.

The stat categories are highlighted in green, these are the following:

  • Num. of goals 76-FT: number of goals scored/conceded between the 76th minute and fulltime in the specified situation.
  • Goal scored: % of games where the team scored at least one goal in the specified situation
  • Goal conceded: % of games where the team conceded at least one goal in the specified situation
  • 1+ goals in the last 15 minutes: % of games where were at least one goal scored by any team in the last 15 minutes (+ added time) in the specified situation.

An example (highlighted in blue):
Wigan had 10 home games in the past calendar year where they had the lead in the 75 minutes, 40% of the times there was at least one more goal in the last 15 minutes. They had 4 games in this situation this season and only 25% of those produced at least one more goal. On the other hand, WBA had 8 away games where they were losing in the 75th minute, 38% of the time we have seen at least one more goal in the last 15 minutes. They had 3 games in this situation in this season, and 67% of those produced at least one more goal by the final whistle.

Football trading plans - 75th Min stats explained

Summary

Football trading can be profitable, but only if you do your homework. The Goalstatistics Daily Football Stats provides everything you need to create your own football trading plans. Don’t forget, we cover more than 120 leagues, over 30 000 matches per year – to make sure you find value every single day.

Understanding goalstatistics daily trading plans
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